Problema Solution
Jack and Tony play 3 games of tennis. The probability of Jack winning is 0.7 .
a) What is the probability of Jack winning all 3 games?
b) What is the probability of Jack winning exactly 2 games?
Answer provided by our tutors
a)When A and B are independent events P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B)
let denote the event wining the game with A
A is independent event
thus we have
P(AAA) = P(A and A and A) = P(A)P(A)P(A) = 0.7^3 = 0.343
the probability of Jack winning all 3 games is 0.343
b)lets B be the event that Jack has lost the game thus
P(B) = 1 - P(A) = 1 - 0.7 = 0.3
Jack winning exactly 2 games will be the following events
AAB - Jack winning the first 2 games and losing the third
ABA - Jack winning the first and the third game and losing the second
BAA - Jack winning the last 2 games and losing the first
P(AAB or ABA or BAA) = P(AAB) + P(ABA) + (BAA) = P(A)P(A)P(B) + P(A)P(B)P(A) + P(B)P(A)P(A) = 3P(A)P(A)P(B) = 3*0.7*0.7*0.3
P(AAB or ABA or BAA) = 0.441
the probability of Jack winning exactly 2 games is 0.441.