Problema Solution

Jack and Tony play 3 games of tennis. The probability of Jack winning is 0.7 .

a) What is the probability of Jack winning all 3 games?

b) What is the probability of Jack winning exactly 2 games?

Answer provided by our tutors

a)When A and B are independent events P(A and B) = P(A) * P(B)


let denote the event wining the game with A


A is independent event


thus we have


P(AAA) = P(A and A and A) = P(A)P(A)P(A) = 0.7^3 = 0.343


the probability of Jack winning all 3 games is 0.343


b)lets B be the event that Jack has lost the game thus


P(B) = 1 - P(A) = 1 - 0.7 = 0.3


Jack winning exactly 2 games will be the following events


AAB - Jack winning the first 2 games and losing the third


ABA - Jack winning the first and the third game and losing the second


BAA - Jack winning the last 2 games and losing the first


P(AAB or ABA or BAA) = P(AAB) + P(ABA) + (BAA) = P(A)P(A)P(B) + P(A)P(B)P(A) + P(B)P(A)P(A) = 3P(A)P(A)P(B) = 3*0.7*0.7*0.3


P(AAB or ABA or BAA) = 0.441


the probability of Jack winning exactly 2 games is 0.441.