Problema Solution

In 1960 there were 450000 cases of measles reported in the USA. In 1996, there were 500 cases reported. How many cases of measles would have been reported in 1987 if the number of cases reported from 1960 to 1996 decreased linearly?

Answer provided by our tutors

let


x = the number of years after 1960


y = the number of cases of measles reported


the number of cases reported from 1960 to 1996 decreased linearlymeans:


y = mx + b, where m and b are the constants we need to find


we know that for x = 0, y = 450,000


450,000 = m*0 + b


b = 450,000


for x = 1996 - 1960 = 36 we have y = 500


500 = m*36 + 450,000


by solving for m we find:


m = - 112,375/9


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the equation that describes the number of measle cases is:


y = (- 112,375/9)x + 450,000


for the year of 1987 we have:


x = 1987 - 1960


x = 27 years


y = (- 112,375/9)*27 + 450,000


y = 112,875 cases


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there would have been 112,875 cases of measels reported in 1987.