Problema Solution

the real risk free rate of interest is 3%. inflation is expected to be 4% next year, 5% the following year and 6% year after. what should the ROR be for a 3 year risk free security?

Answer provided by our tutors

K        =          requiredreturn  (or) yield on debt security

K*       =          realrisk-free rate of interest

IP       =          Inflationpremium

DRP   =          defaultrisk premium

LP      =          liquiditypremium

MRP   =          maturityrisk premium

Formula:        K =K*+IP+DRP+LP+MRP

                       

Inflation is expected to be 2% in the first year i.e.(IP1) = 2%

And 4% expected to be during the next 2 years i.e.(IP2) = 4% & (IP3) = 4%

K* = 3%

(IP1) = 2%

(IP2) = 4%

(IP3) = 4%

MRP = 0

Calculating Yield on 2-years Treasury Security(KT-2):

                       K = K* + IP2

Average Inflation for 2 years (IP2) = [(2%+4%) /2]

                                                IP2 = 3%

Yield on 2-years Treasury Security (KT-2) = 3% +3%

                                                                   = 6%

                                                                          

                          KT-2 = 6%

Calculating Yield on 3-years Treasury Security(KT-3):

Average Inflation for 3 years (IP3) = [(2%+4%+4%) /3]

                                                IP3 = 3.33%

Yield on 3-years Treasury Security (KT-3) = 3% +3.33%

                                                                   = 6.33%

                                                                               

   

            KT-3= 6.33%